Paper earthquake to shake the water hard to the good trend in the stock market

 May 20, 2008 Yangtze Evening News
invited guests: the water skin, formerly known as Lvping Bo, a famous financial commentator, CCTV, Beijing TV Commentator. Because of its good Reviews financial event > Despite the recent rebound in the stock market weakness, but the day before yesterday, optimistic. He felt that the natural disasters this year have been, but there are still many positive factors in the domestic economy, natural disasters will not change the market trend for the better, but given that most investors since the beginning of the collapse of the lingering fear that many investors actually need psychological counseling,UGGs, it suggest that investors have adopted is what the Olympics mean? is actually a major inflection point is marked China, the world's largest developing country into the ranks of developed countries. with the Olympics developed a completely different meaning, why make trouble will be r l Tibetan separatist some Western countries support? is reflected in the subtle complexity of the traditional powers of mind mm seeing a strong rise in China, the Olympics do not find something awkward until after the Olympics to have no hope. The day before yesterday, the hosts have been the subject of water supply and the skin is given the a great nation, I believe the Olympic Games, the Chinese economy will enter a higher level of development. State and society at large,UGG bailey button, every disaster is the driving force of social progress and national cohesion mm high degree of internal cohesion is the process of the elimination and mitigation of external world, various contradictions and conflicts with the lubricant to the Olympic Games after natural disasters is trouble unpopular, because China is relatively will not increase. In addition, there will be a loose fiscal policy to balance, because the reconstruction is very important. Therefore, the macroscopic surface of the second half will improve.
B asserts: 3000 should not be broken
【 talk】 , a lot of stock last week hit bottom three or four, and some below the issue price, below the net assets, or even below the H share price of A share price, this pattern is the most brutal bear market can take place. But the 3,000 points another location should not be broken. As for 4200 points, a lot of people see that this wave of more than 4,000 points, but I think there are two possibilities: one is simply not see the 4000 point rally in the end of 3800. Another is far more than 4,000 points. more than the stock market fell a few hundred points. high-level approach is reflected in the reduction of stamp duty on basically. the original market has been called unilateral expropriation, transferred the stamp duty of 1.5 per thousand, did not expect from a top rate of stamp duty would put down to 3 per thousand 1 per thousand. Well, 4000 has no sense? end of 2006, the Shanghai index points in 2670, 2007, the average performance of the broader market growth of blue-chip index was 60%, 2670 points multiplied by 1.6, the index should be at 4,200 points up and down. In fact, this year's February 26 press spokesman of the Commission, has been made first to the market this round of qualitative, that because of rapid economic growth, market reform and the sufficient liquidity, China's capital market increased rapidly there are reasonable and inevitable. This shows that the Commission has shifted to keeping the stock market was stable, the inflection point is in the day,UGG boots cheap, but the market response was not formed, while the stock index was exactly 4200 points.
C Strategy: If stocks have 3500 points limit to throw the two talk show
【】 many will return to 1500 points. From 1500 to 2500 is a value return process, 2500 to 3500 is that the value of discovery,UGG shoes, on 3500 points, it is a process of speculative value. Last year, the index 3500 points above, I propose to look at an empty l strategy, tactics and more depends on r. Specifically, is this: fall as buying, slipped a small buy, do not or do not buy. Now near the index back to 3500, how operation? Or that a few words, but to turn around: l strategic point of view and more tactical point of view space r. growth beyond a lot of professional analysts had expected. But the great stock market crash since the beginning, the people instability. He believes that now the Sichuan earthquake disaster, the first thing to do psychological counseling, a lot of investors in need of psychological counseling, flesh bearish below 3000 points, including a lot of funds have done so, now that the stock market to rise, many people can not accept this reality, so the steady rise is not possible, into three steps, two steps back has been very good, can throw up a rose, the strategic point of view can be more tactical phase, while short, relatively low in the back from the chips, but the excellent talents of mind for most people to , the mode of operation is this: to sell large rose, was up a small sale, not up not sell, 3500 points in this position limit if there are two stocks to be sold for.
D inflation: a stronger dollar turning point has now inflation pressures will talk】 【small
inflationary pressure will greatly reduce the look. growth performance, 46% growth in bank, so if we look bad, very simple to buy bank shares because the bank is to ensure business growth stocks. He said that in the long run, the dollar turning point has occurred, and recovery momentum, on the one hand this shows that will greatly reduce the pressure of RMB appreciation; the other hand, strengthening of the dollar means that there is no reason to keep oil prices high, now pushed up oil prices was crazy last year when only 56 U.S. dollars / barrel, and the current is to 127 U.S. dollars / barrel. If oil prices fall, we are very clear about the pressure on inflation will be greatly reduced, because the dollar is not strengthening, said If the dollar strengthened, the current can greatly reduce a lot of pressure.